APPARATUS FOR FORECASTING ELECTRIC POWER LOAD OF INDUSTRIAL PARK SYSTEM AND METHOD

摘要

In the present invention a scheme is constructed for forecasting an electric power load taking into consideration the operation patterns of each factory and a means is provided in which it is possible to make forecasting calculations even if there are operation patterns for which there are no past operation records. An apparatus for forecasting the electric power load of an industrial park is designed to forecast the amount of electric power required on a specific day in the future by an industrial park composed of one or a plurality of plants. In plants there is production equipment contributing to production and non production equipment not contributing to production. Regarding the production equipment a high quality electric power forecasting unit is provided for forecasting the progress of the amount of electric power at each time of a specific day using a production plan for a specific day in the future and a device and the usage time of the device used in the production plan. Regarding the non production equipment a low quality electric power forecasting unit is provided for accumulating the progress of the amount of electric power of the non production equipment in the past and forecasting the progress of the amount of electric power at each time of a specific day in the future. Regarding the progress of the amount of electric power at each time of a specific day calculated by each unit calculating the sum of each unit for the same time of day gives the amount of electric power required by the industrial park on the specific day in the future.