METHOD predicting the outcomes of hospitalization of patients with pneumonia

摘要

A method of predicting the outcome of hospitalization with pneumonia in a hospital environment by constructing a multiple logistic regression, and discriminant function solutions vidaz = -2,95-1,67 × 1.39 × X1 + X2 + 1.51 × 1.66 × X3 + X4 + 1 03 × X5, where the X1 - sequential therapy (X1 = 0 if it is not present, and X1 = 1, if there is one); X2 - gender (X2 = 0 if male, and X2 = 1 if female) X3 - the affected lobe of the lung (X2 = 1 if lobar, and X2 = 2, if verhnedolevaya) X4 - respiratory failure (X4 = 0 if not, and X4 = 1 if there is - 1st degree, X4 = 2, if there - the 2nd degree, x4 = 3, if there is - 3rd degree); X5 - high blood pressure (X5 = 0 if not, and X5 = 1 if there is), where risk factors nevyzdorovleniya are female, verhnedolevaya localization of the inflammatory process in the lungs, the degree of respiratory insufficiency and arterial pressure above 120 mmHg characterized in that if the value of z is positive, then the probability of an adverse outcome is increased, if the value of z is negative, then the probability of an adverse outcome is reduced.