A method for analyzing an aggregate consumption signal and for load control in an electric supply system

摘要

The invention relates to a method for analyzing an aggregate consumption signal (41) of a plurality of consumers with temporally variable demand for electrical energy, wherein a first consumer group of the plurality of consumers is centrally influenced with respect to a temporal distribution of the demand for electrical energy, and a second consumer group the majority of consumers is not centrally influenced. A parameterization (44) for the aggregate consumption signal (41) is provided, the parameterization a first function group (43.1 ... 43.6) of functions for parameterizing the consumption of the first consumer group and a second function group (42) for parameterizing the consumption of the second Consumer group. Subsequently, an optimization of parameters of the parameterization to minimize an error function is performed, which corresponds to a deviation between the parameterization and the aggregate consumption signal. The invention likewise relates to a method for load control in an electrical supply system, which, on account of the specific parameterization, generates a prognosis for the future consumption and controls the switch-on times for the consumers in such a way that a utilization function for the prognosis is maximized.