AN AGENT-BASED DEMAND PREDICTION SYSTEM FOR GENERATING WEATHER-DEPENDENT PRODUCT DEMAND PREDICTIONS

摘要

An agent-based demand prediction system for generating weather-dependent product demand predictions using agent-based modelling in which the clients for the product are the agents, the system comprising:an analytics module arranged to select and/or generate agent behaviour rules based on historical data relating to weather-dependent product acquisition by client agents;a weather module arranged to acquire weather forecasts in real time and to access pre-defined weather event rules; andan agent-based simulation module arranged to use the agent behaviour rules and weather forecasts to simulate agent behaviour and generate product demand predictions; whereinthe weather module is arranged to compare the acquired weather forecasts with the pre-defined weather event rules, and trigger a simulation in the agent-based simulation module based on a match between an acquired weather forecast and a predefined weather event rule.