METHOD FOR PREDICTING THE GENERATION OF ELECTRICAL ENERGY OF A SOLAR OR WIND-ENERGY SYSTEM

摘要

The invention relates to a method for predicting an indicator for producing electrical energy from a solar (118) or wind (120) system. The method comprises the steps of: a) receiving (200) M weather forecasts relating to a given geographical area including the solar or wind system, M being a non-zero natural whole number; b) determination (210) at a first instant to a probabilistic forecast Gt indicator of electrical energy production of the solar or wind system for a second time t. In step b), the first instant to is before the second time t and the probabilistic forecast Gt is computed in the form of a weighted distribution of data from at least a part of the M meteorological forecasts received.