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SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR COMBINING WHAT-IF AND GOAL SEEKING ANALYSES FOR PRESCRIPTIVE TIME SERIES FORECASTING

机译:假设时间序列预测的假设与目标分析相结合的系统和方法

摘要

A computer-implemented method for prescriptive time-series forecasting, which combines both what-if analysis and goal-seeking analysis. The method comprises building a model for a target metric with a set of predictors, based on historical time-series data, and computing, using the model, a set of forecast values. Using the set of forecast values with respect to a forecasting period, both a set of goals for the target metric and a set of constraints for the predictors are analyzed. A set of updated forecasts based on the analyses with respect to the forecasting period is determined to meet the goals within the set of constraints. The updated set of forecasts is presented with respect to the forecasting period, e.g., using a table, a visualization, and/or an interactive user interface.
机译:一种计算机执行的规定时间序列预测的方法,该方法结合了假设分析和目标寻求分析。该方法包括:基于历史时间序列数据,利用一组预测变量为目标度量建立模型,以及使用该模型计算一组预测值。使用相对于预测周期的一组预测值,可以分析目标指标的一组目标和预测变量的一组约束。基于对预测周期的分析,确定一组更新的预测,以满足约束条件集内的目标。关于预测周期,例如使用表格,可视化和/或交互式用户界面来呈现更新的预测集。

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