System and Method for Predicting Seasonal using Multi Model Ensemble and Downscaling

摘要

The present invention relates to a seasonal prediction system and method applying a multi-model ensemble and a detailing technique for correcting errors of epidemiological seasonal forecasting through expert intervention and producing seasonal forecast optimized for a region of interest, An overload prevention screening unit for filtering out overloading factors selected by the detailing factor selecting unit, an overlay preventing screening unit for preventing overloading of the overlaying screening unit, An integrating unit for integrating the observatory ensemble members predicted by the mapping unit to produce a final predicted value, and an exposing unit for displaying the final predicted value produced by the integrating unit .