System, method, program for predicting power transaction price, and storage medium storing program

摘要

A storage medium storing a system, a method, a program, and a program for predicting a highly accurate power transaction price in which a fuel price of each fuel type is also taken into consideration based on a market approach model. The power transaction price forecasting system 1 comprises a spot actual price monthly average value calculation unit 109, a monthly average marginal power generation cost calculation unit 111, a monthly average power demand calculation unit 113, a solar monthly average power generation calculation unit 115, Monthly average limit plant profit calculation unit 117, monthly average residual power demand calculation unit 119, first single regression model generation unit 121, marginal plant determination unit 123, second single regression model generation unit 125, spot price monthly average expectation The value calculation unit 127, the season adjustment unit 129, the leveling unit 131, the corrected daily change rate average value / volatility calculation unit 133, the spot price simulation value calculation unit 135, and the simulation value adjustment unit 137 are provided. [Selected figure] Figure 1