Systems and Methods for Operating Hydrocarbon Wells to Inhibit Breakthrough Based on Reservoir Saturation

摘要

Provided are embodiments that include determining cellular volumes having a saturation value for a given time that is above a threshold saturation value and having a location within a threshold distance of a perforation location of a production well, determining a nearest cell distance defined by a minimum distance between the perforation location and locations of the determined cellular volumes, determining an operating bottom-hole pressure (BHP) and a surface well pressure (SWP) for the well for the given time, determining a minimum operating BHP for the well for the given time according to a specified relationship of the operating BHP, the SWP, the threshold saturation value, the threshold distance, and the nearest cell distance, and operating the well at a production rate to maintain a BHP of the well at or above the minimum operating BHP for a time period associated with the given time.