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ELECTRICITY SALES PROJECTION METHOD, DEVICE, AND COMPUTER STORAGE MEDIUM

机译:电力销售投影方法,装置和计算机存储介质

摘要

Disclosed in embodiments of the present invention are an electricity sales projection method, device, and computer storage medium. The method comprises: preprocessing historical electricity sales data; decomposing, by means of an X13 seasonal adjustment algorithm, a preprocessed electricity sales sequence into a trend component, a seasonal component, and a random component; employing, according to an influence factor and curve characteristic of each of the sub-sequences, projection algorithms to perform projection, wherein multiple algorithms are employed to perform the projection to ensure projection accuracy and robustness of the trend component; and summing and reconstructing projection results of the sub-sequences to obtain electricity sales projection results, and selecting, from the multiple projection results, a projection result having the best performance.
机译:在本发明的实施例中公开了电力销售预测方法,设备和计算机存储介质。该方法包括:预处理历史电力销售数据;以及通过X13季节调整算法将预处理的售电序列分解为趋势分量,季节分量和随机分量;根据每个子序列的影响因子和曲线特征,采用投影算法进行投影,其中采用多种算法进行投影,以保证趋势分量的投影精度和鲁棒性;对子序列的投影结果求和重建,得到售电量预测结果,并从多个投影结果中选择性能最佳的投影结果。

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