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SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR FORECASTING ECONOMIC TRENDS USING STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF WEATHER DATA

机译:利用天气数据统计分析预测经济趋势的系统和方法

摘要

Disclosed is an economic forecast system that overcomes technical problems with conventional systems. Conventional economic forecast systems may analyze past economic behavior and construct statistical models to predict future behavior. When incorporating past weather data, however, conventional systems generate overfitted and/or underfitted models because of the high multicollinearity of weather metrics. The disclosed system overcomes this technical problem with conventional systems by analyzing weather metrics that are divided into groups (based on the multicollinearity of the weather metrics in each group) and generates a statistical model using the one or more most statistically significant weather metrics from each group.
机译:公开了一种经济预测系统,其克服了常规系统的技术问题。常规的经济预测系统可以分析过去的经济行为并构建统计模型以预测未来的行为。然而,当合并过去的天气数据时,由于天气度量的高多重共线性,常规系统会生成过度拟合和/或拟合不足的模型。所公开的系统通过分析被划分为几组的天气指标(基于每组中天气指标的多重共线性)并使用来自每组的一个或多个统计上最重要的天气指标来生成统计模型,从而克服了常规系统中的技术问题。 。

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