Probabilistic Load Forecasting via Point Forecast Feature Integration

摘要

System and methods are disclosed to forecast electrical loads in an energy grid with a processor to receive load information from the energy grid; and a two-stage probabilistic load forecasting unit with integrated point forecast as a probabilistic load forecasting (PLF), including: a first stage where predetermined features are utilized to train a point forecast model and obtain the feature importance; and a second stage where the forecasting model is trained, taking into consideration point forecast features.