The invention relates to a method for predicting a failure of an electromechanical component (1) of the type comprising an element (2), an actuator (3) mobilizing the element (2) and a sensor (4) measuring a position. of the element (2), comprising the following steps: control (7) of the actuator (3) in a step during an interval, measurement by means of the sensor (4) of at least one position (9) during l 'interval, recording of said at least one position (9) in a history, comparison of said at least one position (9) with at least one position extrapolated from the history, forecasting of a failure when said at least one position (9) moves away from the extrapolated position. Figure 1
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