An aspect includes creating a municipal solvency (MSX) database. The creating includes collecting and coding data from public sources about a plurality of municipalities. Predictive models are generated based on contents of the MSX database, the predictive models describing drivers of municipal solvency and predictors of material financial events (MFEs) for each of the municipalities. Probabilities of one or more MFEs are predicted for each of the municipalities, the estimating based on the predictive models. Indices that reflect solvency and a probability of an MFE for at least one of the municipalities are created. The indices are output.
展开▼
