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The Secret Life of Fear: Interdependencies Among Implied Volatilities Represented by different Stock Volatility Indices Treated as Assets

机译:恐惧的秘密生活:不同股票波动率指数所代表的隐含波动率之间的相互依赖性作为资产处理

摘要

This study focuses on the systemic interdependencies of specified volatility indices, the underlying assets ofwhich are major stock indices of developed financial markets. The volatility indices in question follow thestandard VIX specification, and thus give forward-looking 30-day estimates of implied volatilities on eachmarket respectively. Volatility is then considered as an asset. Engle’s Dynamic Conditional Correlationspecification of the VAR-MVEGARCH -methodology is used to study spillovers in volatilities betweendifferent markets, as well as dynamic conditional volatility and correlation structures. Additionally,asymmetric behavior of volatilities is taken into account. The time period from January 2000 to mid-June2009 includes both times of normal market conditions and crises. The results prove unidirectional spilloversfrom the US VIX to other indices, and more locally from the VFTSE to the VSMI. The dynamicconditional volatilities include abrupt and large short-term peaks, while the dynamic conditional correlations(DCC) are high and stable. The deviations from DCC -means revert back smoothly so that the spilloversbetween the indices take place over time, and can be interpreted as information transformation. The VDAXand the VFTSE of the main European markets are highly unified, having high correlations but no spilloversbetween them. All indices contain small but significant volatility asymmetries, and day effects.
机译:这项研究着眼于特定波动率指数的系统相互依存关系,其基础资产是发达金融市场的主要股票指数。所涉及的波动率指数遵循标准VIX规范,因此分别给出了每个市场上隐含波动率的30天前瞻性估计。然后将波动性视为资产。恩格尔(Engle)的VAR-MVEGARCH方法的动态条件相关性规范用于研究不同市场之间的波动性以及动态条件波动性和相关性结构的溢出效应。另外,考虑到波动率的不对称行为。从2000年1月到2009年6月中旬这段时间包括正常的市场情况和危机时期。结果证明了从美国VIX到其他指数的单向溢出,以及从VFTSE到VSMI的更多本地溢出。动态条件波动性包括突然的和较大的短期峰值,而动态条件相关性(DCC)高且稳定。与DCC的偏差均值可以平滑地恢复,从而使索引之间的溢出随时间发生,并且可以解释为信息转换。欧洲主要市场的VDAX和VFTSE是高度统一的,具有高度相关性,但它们之间没有溢出。所有指数均包含较小但显着的波动性不对称性和日间影响。

著录项

  • 作者

    Nousiainen Saku;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2010
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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