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A new distribution-based test of self-similarity

机译:一种新的基于分布的自相似性测试

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摘要

In studying the scale invariance of an empirical time series a twofold problem arises: it is necessary to test the series for self-similarity and, once passed such a test, the goal becomes to estimate the parameter H0 of self-similarity. The estimation is therefore correct only if the sequence is truly self-similar but in general this is just assumed and not tested in advance. In this paper we suggest a solution for this problem. Given the process {X(t)}, we propose a new test based on the diameter d of the space of the rescaled probability distribution functions of X(t). Two necessary conditions are deduced which contribute to discriminate self-similar processes and a closed formula is provided for the diameter of the fractional Brownian motion (fBm). Furthermore, by properly chosing the distance function, we reduce the measure of self-similarity to the Smirnov statistics when the one-dimensional distributions of X(t) are considered. This permits the application of the well-known two-sided test due to Kolmogorov and Smirnov in order to evaluate the statistical significance of the diameter d, even in the case of strongly dependent sequences. As a consequence, our approach both tests the series for self-similarity and provides an estimate of the self-similarity parameter.
机译:在研究经验时间序列的尺度不变性时,会出现一个双重问题:有必要测试该序列的自相似性,一旦通过这样的测试,目标就是估计自相似性的参数H0。因此,仅当序列真正是自相似的时,该估计才是正确的,但是通常仅是假设的,而不是预先测试的。在本文中,我们建议针对此问题的解决方案。给定过程{X(t)},我们基于X(t)的重新缩放概率分布函数的空间直径d提出了一个新的检验。推论出有助于区分自相似过程的两个必要条件,并提供了分数布朗运动(fBm)直径的封闭公式。此外,通过适当选择距离函数,当考虑X(t)的一维分布时,我们将自相似性的度量降低至Smirnov统计。这允许应用由于Kolmogorov和Smirnov而产生的众所周知的双向检验,以便评估直径d的统计显着性,即使在强烈依赖序列的情况下也是如此。结果,我们的方法既测试了序列的自相似性,又提供了自相似性参数的估计值。

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    Bianchi Sergio;

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  • 年度 2004
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