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Preferential and non-preferential trade flows in world trade

机译:世界贸易中的优惠和非优惠贸易流动

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摘要

This paper quantifies the extent of preferential trade as a share of total world trade in different regions of the world and for two periods. Results show that: i) preferential trade represented 40% of world trade in the period 1988-1992 and it slightly increased to 42% during the period 1993-1997; ii) during the second period, agricultural products generally benefited more from the existence of preferential trade agreements than industrial products (maybe due to GATT-exemption); iii) the regional distribution of preferential trade is relatively uneven with a significant share of preferential trade in Western Europe (around 70 per cent), relatively low values in the Western Hemisphere (around 25 per cent), very low shares in Asia and Oceania (around 4 per cent) and average values in the rest-of-the-world (Eastern Europe and Africa); iv) the largest increase in shares of preferential trade between the two periods has occurred in the Western Hemisphere and in Eastern-Europe and Africa; v) at the country level there is an inverted-u-shape relationship between the share of preferential trade and the size and GDP per capita of individual countries; vi) countries which are highly open to trade tend to have a larger share of preferential trade on total trade in the period 1993-1997, suggesting that preferential and non-preferential trade can be seen as complements.
机译:本文对优惠贸易在两个时期内占世界不同地区世界贸易总额的份额进行了量化。结果表明:i)优惠贸易在1988-1992年期间占世界贸易的40%,在1993-1997年期间略增至42%; ii)在第二阶段,农产品比一般工业产品从优惠贸易协定的存在中获得的收益要多于工业产品(可能是由于获得关税和贸易总协定的豁免); iii)优惠贸易的区域分布相对不均衡,西欧的优惠贸易占很大比例(约70%),西半球的价值相对较低(约25%),亚洲和大洋洲的比例很低(约4%)和世界其他地区(东欧和非洲)的平均值; iv)在这两个时期内,优惠贸易所占份额的最大增长出现在西半球以及东欧和非洲; v)在国家一级,优惠贸易的份额与各个国家的规模和人均国内生产总值之间存在倒U型关系; vi)高度开放贸易的国家在1993-1997年期间倾向于在总贸易中占较大比例的优惠贸易,这表明优惠和非优惠贸易可以看作是补充。

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