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To commit or not to commit: Endogenous timing in experimental duopoly markets

机译:承诺还是不承诺:实验性双寡头市场的内生时机

摘要

In this paper, we experimentally investigate the extended game with action commitment of Hamilton and Slutsky (1990). In their duopoly game, firms can choose their quantities in one of two periods before the market clears. If a firm commits to a quantity in period 1 it does not know whether the other firm also commits early. By waiting until period 2, a firm can observe the other firm's period 1 action. Hamilton and Slutsky predict the emergence of endogenous Stackelberg leadership. Our data, however, does not confirm the theory. While Stackelberg equilibria are extremely rare we often observe endogenous Cournot outcomes and sometimes collusive play. This is partly driven by the fact that endogenous Stackelberg followers learn to behave in a reciprocal fashion over time, i.e., they learn to reward cooperation and to punish exploitation.
机译:在本文中,我们通过实验研究汉密尔顿和史鲁茨基(1990)的动作承诺来扩展游戏。在双头垄断博弈中,企业可以在市场清算前的两个时期之一中选择其数量。如果一家公司在时期1中承诺数量,则不知道另一家公司是否也提前承诺。通过等待到第二期,一家公司可以观察到另一家公司的第一期行动。汉密尔顿和斯卢茨基预测内生的斯塔克伯格领导层的出现。但是,我们的数据并未证实该理论。尽管斯塔克尔伯格平衡极少见,但我们经常观察到内源性的古诺结局,有时还会出现串通行为。这部分是由于内生的Stackelberg追随者学会了随着时间的推移以相互的方式行事,即他们学会奖励合作和惩罚剥削。

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