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Insurance innovations and incentives for adaptation using weather reanalysis tools for contract pricing

机译:使用天气再分析工具进行合同定价的保险创新和激励措施

摘要

Reanalysis techniques show that extreme weather events such as heat-waves and significant, severe hail have increased over most of Australia in the last fifty years of the 1871-2008 period. Indemnity insurance of such weather hazards is becoming increasingly expensive and difficult to price as they become a more systemic feature of the Australian climate. Innovations such as index-based insurance based on site moisture and climate indicators such as the Southern Oscillation may offer a better treatment of such multiple perils by allowing a more widespread offsetting of risks for vulnerable communities. Such benefits may be increased if some aggregation of risks is encouraged by insuring co-operatives, longer-term contracts are used to provide some stability to the market and adaptation incentives are offered to the participating groups as a way to lower the premium costs. We illustrate these arguments by considering the insurance of weather risks for a typical farming community in the Queensland to New South Wales near-coastal strip. There is considerable potential for useful interactions with other sectors such as the energy and water industries.
机译:再分析技术表明,在1871-2008年的最后50年中,澳大利亚大部分地区的极端天气事件(如热浪和严重的冰雹)增加了。由于这种天气灾害的赔偿保险日益成为澳大利亚气候的系统性特征,因此变得越来越昂贵且难以定价。通过基于站点湿度和气候指标的基于指数的保险等创新,例如南方涛动,可以通过更广泛地抵消弱势群体的风险来更好地处理此类多重风险。如果通过向合作社投保来鼓励一定程度的风险汇总,使用长期合同为市场提供一定的稳定性以及向参与团体提供适应性激励措施以降低保费成本,则可以增加此类收益。我们通过考虑昆士兰州到新南威尔士州近沿海地带的典型农业社区的天气风险保险来说明这些论点。与其他部门(例如能源和水行业)进行有益互动的潜力很大。

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