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Estimating the Effect of Home Court Advantage on Wins in the NBA

机译:估算主场优势对NBA胜利的影响

摘要

What is the effect of home court advantage in the National Basketball Association (NBA)? Based on the Economic Theory of Professional Sports and the concept of shirking, teams should perform better at home than they do on the road. Descriptive statistics support this expectation. It is hypothesized that a home court advantage is due to fan attendance, field goal and free throw percentages, and fouls called by the referee. Following every NBA team and every game played over a three-year span (2008-2011), this paper estimates the probability of producing a win at home based on the aforementioned variables. Using a logit regression analysis, it is found that a one standard deviation increase in attendance increases the home team’s chances of winning the game by 2.7%. A referee bias is also found, increasing the home court advantage for NBA teams.
机译:国家篮球协会(NBA)的主场优势有什么影响?基于职业体育的经济理论和逃避的概念,车队在家中的表现应比在旅途中更好。描述性统计数据支持这种期望。假设主场优势是由于球迷出勤率,投篮命中率和罚球命中率以及裁判员犯规所致。在过去三年(2008-2011年)的每支NBA球队和每场比赛之后,本文根据上述变量估算了主场获胜的可能性。通过logit回归分析,发现出勤率每增加一个标准差,主队获胜的机会就会增加2.7%。还发现裁判偏见,增加了NBA球队的主场优势。

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    Kotecki Jason;

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