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A semiparametric bivariate probit model for joint modeling of outcomes in STEMI patients

机译:半参数双变量概率模型用于STEMI患者结局的联合建模

摘要

In this work we analyse the relationship among in-hospital mortality and a treatment effectiveness outcome in patients affected by ST-Elevation myocardial infarction. The main idea is to carry out a joint modeling of the two outcomes applying a Semiparametric Bivariate Probit Model to data arising from a clinical registry called STEMI Archive. A realistic quantification of the relationship between outcomes can be problematic for several reasons. First, latent factors associated with hospitals organization can affect the treatment efficacy and/or interact with patient’s condition at admission time. Moreover, they can also directly influence the mortality outcome. Such factors can be hardly measurable. Thus, the use of classical estimation methods will clearly result in inconsistent or biased parameter estimates. Secondly, covariate-outcomes relationships can exhibit nonlinear patterns. Provided that proper statistical methods for model fitting in such framework are available, it is possible to employ a simultaneous estimation approach to account for unobservable confounders. Such a framework can also provide flexible covariate structures and model the whole conditional distribution of the response.
机译:在这项工作中,我们分析了ST抬高型心肌梗死患者的院内死亡率与治疗效果结局之间的关系。主要思想是将半参数双变量概率模型应用于来自名为STEMI Archive的临床注册所产生的数据,对两个结果进行联合建模。由于以下几个原因,对结果之间关系的现实量化可能会有问题。首先,与医院组织相关的潜在因素可能会影响治疗效果和/或在入院时与患者的病情互动。而且,它们还可以直接影响死亡率结果。这些因素几乎无法测量。因此,使用经典估计方法显然会导致不一致或有偏差的参数估计。其次,协变量结果关系可以表现出非线性模式。只要有合适的统计方法可以在这种框架中进行模型拟合,就可以采用同时估算的方法来解决不可观察的混杂因素。这样的框架还可以提供灵活的协变量结构,并为响应的整个条件分布建模。

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