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The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 2: two interglacials, scientific objective and experimental design for Holocene and last interglacial simulations

机译:PMIP4对CMIP6的贡献–第2部分:两种间冰期,全新世的科学目标和实验设计以及最后的间冰期模拟

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摘要

Two interglacial epochs are included in the suite of Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP4) simulations in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). The experimental protocols for Tier 1 simulations of the mid-Holocene (midHolocene, 6000 years before present) and the Last Interglacial (lig127k, 127,000 years before present) are described here. These equilibrium simulations are designed to examine the impact of changes in orbital forcing at times when atmospheric greenhouse gas levels were similar to those of the preindustrial period and the continental configurations were almost identical to modern. These simulations test our understanding of the interplay between radiative forcing and atmospheric circulation, and the connections among large-scale and regional climate changes giving rise to phenomena such as land-sea contrast and high-latitude amplification in temperature changes, and responses of the monsoons, as compared to today. They also provide an opportunity, through carefully designed additional CMIP6 Tier 2 and Tier 3 sensitivity experiments of PMIP4, to quantify the strength of atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere, and land-surface feedbacks. Sensitivity experiments are proposed to investigate the role of freshwater forcing in triggering abrupt climate changes within interglacial epochs. These feedback experiments naturally lead to a focus on climate evolution during interglacial periods, which will be examined through transient experiments. Analyses of the sensitivity simulations will also focus on interactions between extratropical and tropical circulation, and the relationship between changes in mean climate state and climate variability on annual to multi-decadal timescales. The comparative abundance of paleoenvironmental data and of quantitative climate reconstructions for the Holocene and Last Interglacial make these two epochs ideal candidates for systematic evaluation of model performance, and such comparisons will shed new light on the importance of external feedbacks (e.g., vegetation, dust) and the ability of state-of-the-art models to simulate climate changes realistically.
机译:耦合模型比对项目(CMIP6)的古气候模拟比对项目(PMIP4)模拟套件中包括两个冰期纪元。这里描述了中全新世(midHolocene,目前存在6000年)和最后一次冰期(lig127k,目前存在127,000年)的方法1模拟的实验方案。这些平衡模拟旨在检查在大气温室气体水平与工业化前时期相似并且大陆构造与现代几乎相同的时候,轨道强迫变化的影响。这些模拟测试了我们对辐射强迫与大气环流之间相互作用的理解,以及大规模和区域性气候变化之间的联系,从而引起了陆海对比和温度变化的高纬度放大以及季风的响应等现象。 ,与今天相比。通过精心设计的其他PMIP4 CMIP6第2层和第3层灵敏度实验,它们还提供了量化大气,海洋,冰冻圈和陆地表面反馈强度的机会。提出了敏感性实验,以研究淡水强迫在冰期之间引发突变的气候变化中的作用。这些反馈实验自然会导致人们关注间冰期的气候演变,这将通过瞬态实验进行检验。敏感性模拟的分析还将侧重于温带和热带环流之间的相互作用,以及年际至数十年尺度上平均气候状态变化与气候变异之间的关系。全新世和上一次冰期的古环境数据和定量气候重建的比较丰富,使这两个时代成为系统评估模型性能的理想候选者,这种比较将为外界反馈(例如植被,灰尘)的重要性提供新的启示。最先进的模型能够真实地模拟气候变化。

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