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Short-Term Electric Demand Forecasting for the Residential Sector: Lessons Learned from the RESPOND H2020 Project

机译:住宅部门的短期电气需求预测:从回复H2020项目中汲取的经验教训

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摘要

RESPOND proposes an Artificial Intelligent (AI) system to assist residential consumers that would like to make use of Demand Response (DR) and incorporate it into their energy management systems. The proposed system considers the forecast energy consumption based on the data acquired. This work compares the results obtained by different forecasting methods using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) as a measure of the forecast performance. The ARIMA, Linear Regression (LR), Support Vector Regression (SVR) and k-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) models are tested, and it is concluded that the results achieved with the KNN obtain a better fit. In addition to obtaining the lowest RMSE, KNN is the algorithm that spends less time in obtaining the forecasts.
机译:响应提出了一个人工智能(AI)系统,协助希望使用需求响应(DR)并将其纳入其能源管理系统的住宿消费者。建议的系统基于所获取的数据考虑预测能耗。这项工作比较了使用不同预测方法获得的结果,使用根均方误差(RMSE)作为预测性能的量度。 ARIMA,线性回归(LR),支持向量回归(SVR)和K最近的邻居(KNN)模型进行了得出结论,通过KNN实现的结果获得更好的合适。除了获得最低的RMSE之外,KNN还是在获得预测时花费更少时间的算法。

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