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Short-Term Traffic State Prediction Based on the Spatiotemporal Features of Critical Road Sections

机译:基于关键路段时空特征的短期交通状态预测

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摘要

Recently, short-term traffic prediction under conditions with corrupted or missing data has become a popular topic. Since a road section has predictive power regarding the adjacent roads at a specific location, this paper proposes a novel hybrid convolutional long short-term memory neural network model based on critical road sections (CRS-ConvLSTM NN) to predict the traffic evolution of global networks. The critical road sections that have the most powerful impact on the subnetwork are identified by a spatiotemporal correlation algorithm. Subsequently, the traffic speed of the critical road sections is used as the input to the ConvLSTM to predict the future traffic states of the entire network. The experimental results from a Beijing traffic network indicate that the CRS-ConvLSTM outperforms prevailing deep learning (DL) approaches for cases that consider critical road sections and the results validate the capability and generalizability of the model when predicting with different numbers of critical road sections.
机译:最近,在损坏或缺失数据的条件下短期交通预测已成为一个流行的主题。由于路段对特定地点的相邻道路具有预测的动力,因此本文提出了一种基于关键路段(CRS-COMMLSTM NN)的新型混合卷积长短短期记忆神经网络模型,以预测全球网络的交通演变。对子网具有最强大影响的关键路段由时空相关算法识别。随后,关键路段的流量速度用作CONMLSTM的输入,以预测整个网络的未来交通状态。北京交通网络的实验结果表明,在考虑关键路段的情况下,CRS-COMMLSTM胜过普遍的深度学习(DL)方法,并且结果验证了模型的能力和概括性,以便在预测不同数量的关键路段时验证模型的能力和概括性。

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