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Financial Time Series Forecasting Using Directed-Weighted Chunking SVMs

机译:使用定向加权块SVM的金融时间序列预测

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摘要

Support vector machines (SVMs) are a promising alternative to traditional regression estimation approaches. But, when dealing with massive-scale data set, there exist many problems, such as the long training time and excessive demand of memory space. So, the SVMs algorithm is not suitable to deal with financial time series data. In order to solve these problems, directed-weighted chunking SVMs algorithm is proposed. In this algorithm, the whole training data set is split into several chunks, and then the support vectors are obtained on each subset. Furthermore, the weighted support vector regressions are calculated to obtain the forecast model on the new working data set. Our directed-weighted chunking algorithm provides a new method of support vectors decomposing and combining according to the importance of chunks, which can improve the operation speed without reducing prediction accuracy. Finally, IBM stock daily close prices data are used to verify the validity of the proposed algorithm.
机译:支持向量机(SVM)是传统回归估算方法的有希望的替代方案。但是,在处理大规模数据集时,存在许多问题,例如长期训练时间和对存储空间的过度需求。因此,SVMS算法不适合处理财务时间序列数据。为了解决这些问题,提出了指导加权块SVMS算法。在该算法中,整个训练数据集被分成多个块,然后在每个子集上获得支持向量。此外,计算加权支持向量回归以在新工作数据集上获得预测模型。我们的指示加权块算法提供了一种新的支持向量的方法,其根据块的重要性分解和组合,这可以提高操作速度而不降低预测精度。最后,IBM股票日常关闭价格用于验证所提出的算法的有效性。

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