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Effectiveness of the Easing of Monetary Policy in the Japanese Economy, Incorporating Energy Prices

机译:在日本经济中宽松货币政策的有效性,纳入能源价格

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摘要

Japan has reached the limits of conventional macroeconomic policy. In order to overcome deflation and achieve sustainable economic growth, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) recently set an inflation target of 2% and implemented an aggressive monetary policy so this target could be achieved as soon as possible. Although prices started to rise after the BOJ implemented monetary easing, this may have been for other reasons, such as higher oil prices. Oil became expensive as a result of the depreciated Japanese yen and this was one of the main causes of the rise in inflation. This paper shows that quantitative easing may not have stimulated the Japanese economy either. Aggregate demand, which includes private investment, did not increase significantly in Japan with lower interest rates. Private investment displays this unconventional behavior because of uncertainty about the future and because Japan's population is aging. We believe that the remedy for Japan's economic policy is not to be found in monetary policy. The government needs to implement serious structural changes and growth strategies.
机译:日本已达到常规宏观经济政策的极限。为了克服通缩并实现可持续的经济增长,日本银行(BOJ)最近将通货膨胀目标定为2%,并实施了激进的货币政策,以便尽快实现这一目标。尽管在日本央行实施货币宽松政策后油价开始上涨,但这可能是由于其他原因,例如油价上涨。由于日元贬值,石油变得昂贵,这是通货膨胀上升的主要原因之一。本文表明,量化宽松也可能不会刺激日本经济。在日本,由于利率较低,包括私人投资在内的总需求并未显着增加。由于对未来的不确定性以及日本人口的老龄化,私人投资表现出这种非常规的行为。我们认为,在货币政策中找不到解决日本经济政策的办法。政府需要实施重大的结构改革和增长战略。

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