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Government-spending multipliers and the zero lower bound in an open economy

机译:开放经济中的政府支出乘数和零下限

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摘要

What is the size of the government-spending multiplier in an open economy when the Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) on the nominal interest rate is binding? Using a theoretical framework, in a closed economy, Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Rebelo (2011), show that, when the nominal interest rate is binding, the government-spending multiplier can be close to four. Their theory helps us to understand the government spending multiplier in ZLB, but it is difficult to match that theory with the data. We propose a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium in open macroeconomics, with market imperfections, wage and price rigidities and endogenous smoothing monetary policy. We argue that, in a closed economy and in the presence of ZLB, there is no crowding out effect through interest rates. We also argue that in an open economy, there is another channel for the crowding out effect via the real exchange rate. For an open economy, the multiplier falls to the levels usually observed in small,closed economies for which the ZLB is not binding.
机译:当名义利率的零下限(ZLB)具有约束力时,开放经济中政府支出乘数的大小是多少? Christiano,Eichenbaum和Rebelo(2011)在一个封闭的经济体中使用理论框架表明,当名义利率具有约束力时,政府支出乘数可以接近4。他们的理论有助于我们了解ZLB中的政府支出乘数,但很难将该理论与数据相匹配。我们提出开放宏观经济学中的动态随机一般均衡,具有市场缺陷,工资和价格刚性以及内生的平滑货币政策。我们认为,在封闭的经济中,在存在ZLB的情况下,不会通过利率挤出效应。我们还认为,在开放经济中,还有另一种渠道通过实际汇率产生挤出效应。对于开放型经济体,其乘数降到了ZLB不受约束的小型封闭型经济体中通常观察到的水平。

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