Cuba Transition Project: The Cuban Communist Party and Electoral Politics: Adaptation, Succession, and Transition

摘要

The issue of transition in Cuba has attracted attention in recent years from scholars and policymakers alike. The dramatic collapse of European communism, the inexorable aging of the Cuban revolution's founding generation, and the 'third wave' of global democratization all sparked renewed interest in the prospects for political change in Cuba. Three transitions are worth examining and keeping analytically distinct: first, the adaptations the Cuban regime has been forced to undergo as a result of the collapse of European communism and the reintegration of Cuba into the world market$ next, the leadership succession, which will commence with the passing of Cuban President Fidel Castro from the political scene$ and finally, a transition to democracy, which is possible, but by no means assured.