National Weather Service Public Forecast Verification Summary, April 1978 to March 1982

摘要

Both WSFO and NMC forecasts of temperature and precipitation continued to improve during the 4-year period from 1978 to 1981. The NMC guidance for temperature was more erratic, but on average the difference between NMC and the WSFO's remained consistent with the previous 4-year period. The percent correct for precipitation climbed steadily to a peak in 1980 before a reversal. The percent improvement of the probability of precipitation Brier score over climatology was at its highest levels for the 4 year period, prior to the reversal in 1981.