Application of SLIM-MAUD: A Test of an Interactive Computer-Based Method for Organizing Expert Assessment of Human Performance and Reliability. Volume 1. Main Report.

摘要

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has been conducting a multi-year research program to investigate different methods for using expert judgments to estimate human error probabilities (HEPs) in nuclear power plants. One of the methods investigated, derived from multi-attribute utility theory, is the Success Likelihood Index Methodology implemented through Multi-Attribute Utility Decomposition (SLIM-MAUD). The report describes a systematic test application of the SLIM-MAUD methodology. The test application is evaluated on the basis of three criteria: practicality, acceptability, and usefulness. Volume I of this report presents an overview of SLIM-MAUD, describes the procedures followed in the test application, and provides a summary of the results obtained.