Systems Dynamics Modeling Approach to Analysis of the USAF Pilot Production/Allocation System.

摘要

This research was conducted to investigate the United States Air Force pilot production and allocation system. It applies system dynamics methodology as an effective means to analyze this complex system. The Pilot Production/Allocation Management Model (PP/AMM) is developed using DYNAMICS III simulation language. The model is an aggregated representation of the system which deals with recruitment, allocation, and training of pilots. It divides pilot resources into three core forces, rated supplement resources, and Undergraduate Pilot Training instructor pilots. Initially, the system is analyzed by a discussion of a cost module and of system equilibrium. Next, various force build-up, draw-down, and attrition scenarios are analyzed. A change of management policy involving the forecasting of attrition rates concludes the analysis and demonstrates an application of the model. This example also shows how rapidly and economically information can be obtained from the model. (Author)