Statistical Methods for Improving the Assessment of Recruiting Market Conditions. Revision

摘要

This document quantifies historical seasonal patterns in recruiting statistics and shows them to have evolved over time. Decline in seasonal variation dates from 1978 to 1980 for various measures of recruiting flows. Deseasonalized versions of these recruiting statistics are produced for use in econometric time-series models. The results provide a benchmark for gauging the seasonal component of Navy recruiting goals and achievements. Keywords: Assessment, Contracts, DEP (Delayed Entry Program), Econometrics, Economic analysis, Enlisted personnel, Enlistment, Mathematical analysis, Personnel retention, Recruiting, Seasonal variations, Statistical analysis, Statistical data, Statistics, Time series analysis. (KR)