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GERMANY

机译:德国

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摘要

Economic growth is projected to remain solid, as a robust labour market, low interest rates and a mildly expansionary fiscal stance underpin consumption and residential investment. Demand from emerging market economies and euro area countries is expected to strengthen only slowly, holding back business investment The unemployment rate will remain at historic lows. The current account surplus will fall somewhat but will remain high. Budgetary policy needs to provide even more support to counter subdued demand in the euro area and to address key structural weaknesses holding back inclusive growth. Reforms to remove barriers to entry and competition in professional services, in telecommunications, postal and rail transport services and crafts would strengthen entrepreneurship, productivity and investment More effective requirements for banks to separate investment from retail banking, and stricter leverage ratio requirements would reduce financial market risks.
机译:预计经济增长将保持稳定,因为强劲的劳动力市场,低利率和适度扩张的财政立场将支撑消费和住宅投资。预计新兴市场经济体和欧元区国家的需求只会缓慢增长,从而抑制商业投资。失业率将保持在历史低位。经常账户盈余将有所下降,但仍将保持较高水平。预算政策需要提供更多支持,以应对欧元区需求疲软,并解决阻碍包容性增长的主要结构性弱点。消除专业服务,电信,邮政和铁路运输服务及手工艺品进入和竞争壁垒的改革将增强企业家精神,生产力和投资,对银行将投资与零售银行分开的更有效要求,以及更严格的杠杆比率要求将减少金融市场风险。

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