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Economic & steel industry outlook

机译:经济和钢铁行业前景

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In a widely anticipated move, the Bush administration repealed the highly controversial Section 201 steel trade tariffs on December 4. In his decision, the administration cited changed economic circumstances and the progress the domestic steel industry has made since the tariffs were implemented as the reasons for their withdrawal. While domestic mills have made it clear they are disappointed with the outcome, they have been careful to de-emphasise their earlier negative arguments, which they feared would discourage potential investors, and are now focusing on the administration's pledge to improve import licensing and monitoring systems to prevent further trade crises in future. The blow to domestic mills has certainly been softened by rapidly improving steel market conditions. Mills are seeing both flat and long product prices rising, and while the bulk of the gains are attributed to rising costs, the economy is clearly strengthening, lending support to demand from end-users. Furthermore, inventories have been depleted both at suppliers and consumers, with the upturn in the economy prompting re-stocking by service centres and end-users and providing a further boost to steel demand. Of significance to ferro-alloy suppliers, mill operating rates are receding in December, falling back below 80 percent of capacity to just 77.7 percent of capacity at mid-month.
机译:布什政府于12月4日取消了备受争议的第201节钢铁贸易关税,这是广受期待的举动。布什政府在决定中援引经济条件的变化以及自实施关税以来国内钢铁业取得的进步,作为其原因。他们退出。尽管国内钢厂已经明确表示他们对结果感到失望,但他们仍在谨慎地强调其先前的负面论据,他们担心这些论点会挫败潜在的投资者,现在正着重于政府承诺改善进口许可和监控系统的承诺。以防止将来发生进一步的贸易危机。迅速改善的钢铁市场状况无疑已减轻了对国内钢厂的打击。钢厂看到扁平产品和长材产品价格都在上涨,虽然大部分涨幅归因于成本上涨,但经济显然正在走强,这为最终用户的需求提供了支持。此外,供应商和消费者的库存都已耗尽,经济的好转促使服务中心和最终用户补充库存,进一步刺激了钢铁需求。对于铁合金供应商而言,重要的是,12月份的开工率正在下降,月产能下降至产能的80%以下,降至产能的77.7%。

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