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Monte Carlo algorithms for Brownian phylogenetic models

机译:布朗系统发育模型的蒙特卡洛算法

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Motivation: Brownian models have been introduced in phylogenetics for describing variation in substitution rates through time, with applications to molecular dating or to the comparative analysis of variation in substitution patterns among lineages. Thus far, however, the Monte Carlo implementations of these models have relied on crude approximations, in which the Brownian process is sampled only at the internal nodes of the phylogeny or at the midpoints along each branch, and the unknown trajectory between these sampled points is summarized by simple branchwise average substitution rates. Results: A more accurate Monte Carlo approach is introduced, explicitly sampling a fine-grained discretization of the trajectory of the (potentially multivariate) Brownian process along the phylogeny. Generic Monte Carlo resampling algorithms are proposed for updating the Brownian paths along and across branches. Specific computational strategies are developed for efficient integration of the finite-time substitution probabilities across branches induced by the Brownian trajectory. The mixing properties and the computational complexity of the resulting Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler scale reasonably with the discretization level, allowing practical applications with up to a few hundred discretization points along the entire depth of the tree. The method can be generalized to other Markovian stochastic processes, making it possible to implement a wide range of time-dependent substitution models with well-controlled computational precision
机译:动机:系统发育学已引入布朗模型,用于描述随时间变化的替代率,并应用于分子测年或沿袭谱系中替代模式变化的比较分析。但是,到目前为止,这些模型的蒙特卡洛实现依赖于粗略近似,其中仅在系统发育的内部节点或沿每个分支的中点对布朗过程进行采样,并且这些采样点之间的未知轨迹为用简单的分支平均替代率总结。结果:引入了更准确的蒙特卡洛方法,显着地采样了系统发育上(潜在的多元)布朗过程的轨迹的细粒度离散化。提出了通用的蒙特卡洛重采样算法来更新沿分支和跨分支的布朗路径。开发了特定的计算策略,以有效地整合布朗轨迹所引起的跨分支的有限时间替换概率。最终马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛采样器的混合特性和计算复杂度随离散化程度合理地缩放,从而允许在实际应用中沿着树的整个深度具有多达数百个离散化点。该方法可以推广到其他马尔可夫随机过程,从而有可能以良好的控制精度实现范围广泛的随时间变化的替换模型

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