THE BIG PICTURE How Long Can China Rise Peacefully?

摘要

As many ponder whether the election of Donald Trump as the next US president will lead to a more inward-looking America, one corollary question is whether a US retreat will embolden China to throw its weight around, raising the risk of conflict in the Asia-Pacific region. How fast China's economic power continues to grow will also influence how China chooses to project power. Trouble on the domestic front could encourage it to play up the nationalistic card and move even more assertively in the South China Sea — but domestic successes could have the same emboldening effect.