STUDY ON CARBON-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS IN CHINA BASED ON STRUCTURAL DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS

摘要

Based on the structural decomposition analysis and EORA database, the influence of four driving factors on the change of carbon dioxide emission in China during 1980-2013 was analyzed. The results show that the effect of carbon emission intensity has the greatest contribution to mitigation of carbon dioxide emission increase, and the final demand expanding and the input-output structure effect contribute the most to the growth of carbon dioxide emissions. From the perspective of changing trends, the total amount of carbon dioxide emissions and four factors can be divided into three stages: 19801986, 1986-2001 and then 2001-2013, which tend to fluctuation from stable state in early years. From the view of sector level, gas production, cement products, electricity and construction sectors are the main causes of carbon dioxide emissions growth during 2001-2013. With the increase of the use of clean energy, technological change, old plants closeness and improvement of the industrial structure of the final demand are the main ways to reduce carbon dioxide emissions.