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Unguided Species Delimitation Using DNA Sequence Data from Multiple Loci

机译:使用来自多个位点的 DNA 序列数据进行非引导物种划界

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A method was developed for simultaneous Bayesian inference of species delimitation and species phylogeny using the multispecies coalescent model. The method eliminates the need for a user-specified guide tree in species delimitation and incorporates phylogenetic uncertainty in a Bayesian framework. The nearest-neighbor interchange algorithm was adapted to propose changes to the species tree, with the gene trees for multiple loci altered in the proposal to avoid conflicts with the newly proposed species tree. We also modify our previous scheme for specifying priors for species delimitation models to construct joint priors for models of species delimitation and species phylogeny. As in our earlier method, the modified algorithm integrates over gene trees, taking account of the uncertainty of gene tree topology and branch lengths given the sequence data. We conducted a simulation study to examine the statistical properties of the method using six populations (two sequences each) and a true number of three species, with values of divergence times and ancestral population sizes that are realistic for recently diverged species. The results suggest that the method tends to be conservative with high posterior probabilities being a confident indicator of species status. Simulation results also indicate that the power of the method to delimit species increases with an increase of the divergence times in the species tree, and with an increased number of gene loci. Reanalyses of two data sets of cavefish and coast horned lizards suggest considerable phylogenetic uncertainty even though the data are informative about species delimitation. We discuss the impact of the prior on models of species delimitation and species phylogeny and of the prior on population size parameters (theta) on Bayesian species delimitation.
机译:开发了一种基于多物种合并模型的物种划界和物种系统发育同步贝叶斯推断方法。该方法消除了在物种划界中对用户指定的指南树的需求,并将系统发育不确定性纳入贝叶斯框架中。最近邻交换算法被调整为对物种树的修改,在提案中修改了多个基因座的基因树,以避免与新提出的物种树发生冲突。我们还修改了之前为物种划界模型指定先验的方案,以构建物种划界和物种系统发育模型的联合先验。与我们之前的方法一样,修改后的算法对基因树进行积分,同时考虑到给定序列数据的基因树拓扑结构和分支长度的不确定性。我们进行了一项模拟研究,以检查该方法的统计特性,使用六个种群(每个种群两个序列)和三个物种的真实数量,其分化时间和祖先种群大小的值对于最近分化的物种是现实的。结果表明,该方法趋于保守,高后验概率是物种状态的可靠指标。仿真结果还表明,随着物种树中分化时间的增加和基因位点数量的增加,该方法的物种界定能力也随之增加。对洞穴鱼和海岸角蜥蜴两组数据的重新分析表明,尽管这些数据提供了有关物种划界的信息,但系统发育仍存在相当大的不确定性。我们讨论了先验对物种划界和物种系统发育模型的影响,以及先验对种群大小参数(theta)对贝叶斯物种划界的影响。

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