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AN ANALYTICAL STUDY OF THE RESPONSE OF SUPPLY FOR WINTER TOMATO CROP DISPLAY IN EGYPT

机译:埃及冬番茄作物供应响应的分析研究

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摘要

Tomato crop is considered one of the most important strategic green crops at the national level. It is one of the food and manufacturing crops that some food industry uses it as pasle, it is alse an important source in its contribution to the Egyptian national agricultural income. The research aims at estimating the response supply for winter tomato crop in Egypt to determine the most important variables that can affect the response of the cultivated area of this crop. In addition to estimating the flexibility of the response to these variables, and the amount of the annual response to tomato farmers, and thus reach to the appropriate period necessary to achieve complete response. The response functions show has been estimated in accordance with the model of Marc Nerlov, and the model of Robert Solow. The results of estimating the response supply of the winter tomato crop in Egypt using the model Marc Nerlov for partial adaptation during the period (1995-2013) have shown that the production of the tomato crop per feddan is one of the most variables impact on the farmer's response to the expansion for the cultivation winter tomato., it has Also been clear that there is a response from winter tomato growers to the relative prices between the winter tomatoes and both of the sugar beet and beans. Besides that the results of estimating the response functions show for the winter tomato crop have shown according to the model of Robert Solow that the production of the winter tomato crop per feddan is considered one of the best variables impact on farmer's response to the expansion for the cultivation winter tomato. It has also, been clear that there is a response from the winter tomato growers to the relative prices between the winter tomatoes and both of the sugar beet and beans crops. The research recommends the need to activate the role of agricultural guidance and expansion of the establishment of the indicative fields in order to encourage farmers to use tomato varieties with high productivity. The research, also, recommends the expansion in tomato manufacturing so that it can make a kind of balance between the quantity demanded and the quantity supplied and thus the possibility of maintaining the price stability.
机译:番茄作物被认为是国家层面最重要的战略性绿色作物之一。它是一些食品工业将其用作pasle的食品和制造作物之一,它是其对埃及国民农业收入贡献的重要来源。该研究旨在估计埃及冬季番茄作物的响应供应量,以确定可能影响该作物种植面积响应的最重要变量。除了估计对这些变量的响应的灵活性外,还对番茄种植者进行了年度响应,从而达到实现完全响应所需的适当时期。响应函数显示已根据 Marc Nerlov 的模型和 Robert Solow 的模型进行估计。在1995-2013年期间(1995-2013年),使用Marc Nerlov模型估计埃及冬季番茄作物的响应供应量的结果表明,每个feddan的番茄产量是影响农民对冬季番茄种植扩张反应的最大变量之一。 很明显,冬季番茄种植者对冬季番茄与甜菜和豆类之间的相对价格做出了反应。此外,根据Robert Solow的模型,估计冬季番茄作物的响应函数的结果表明,冬番茄作物的产量被认为是影响农民对冬番茄种植扩张反应的最佳变量之一。很明显,冬季番茄种植者对冬季番茄与甜菜和豆类作物之间的相对价格做出了反应。该研究建议,需要发挥农业指导作用,扩大指示性田地的建立,以鼓励农民使用高产番茄品种。该研究还建议扩大番茄生产,以便在需求量和供应量之间取得某种平衡,从而有可能保持价格稳定。

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