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Influenza-associated excess mortality in southern Brazil, 1980-2008

机译:1980-2008年巴西南部与流感相关的超额死亡率

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摘要

In order to estimate influenza-associated excess mortality in southern Brazil, we applied Serfling regression models to monthly mortality data from 1980 to 2008 for pneumonia/influenza- and respiratory/circulatory-coded deaths for all ages and for those aged ≥60 years. According to viral data, 73·5 of influenza viruses were detected between April and August in southern Brazil. There was no clear influenza season for northern Brazil. In southern Brazil, influenza-associated excess mortality was 1·4/100 000 for all ages and 9·2/100 000 person-years for persons aged ≥60 years using underlying pneumonia/influenza-coded deaths and 10·0/100 000 for all ages and 86·6/100 000 person-years for persons aged ≥60 years using underlying respiratory/circulatory-coded deaths. Influenza-associated excess mortality rates for southern Brazil are similar to those published for other countries. Our data support the need for continued influenza surveillance to guide vaccination campaigns to age groups most affected by this virus in Brazil.
机译:为了估计巴西南部与流感相关的超额死亡率,我们将 Serfling 回归模型应用于 1980 年至 2008 年所有年龄段和 ≥60 岁人群的肺炎/流感和呼吸系统/循环编码死亡的月度死亡率数据。根据病毒数据,73·5%的流感病毒是在4月至8月期间在巴西南部检测到的。巴西北部没有明确的流感季节。在巴西南部,使用基础肺炎/流感编码死亡,所有年龄段的流感相关超额死亡率为1.4/10万,≥60岁人群为9.2/10万人年,所有年龄段的超额死亡率为10.0/10万,≥60岁人群的超额死亡率为86.6/10万人年。巴西南部与流感相关的超额死亡率与其他国家相似。我们的数据支持需要继续进行流感监测,以指导巴西受该病毒影响最严重的年龄组的疫苗接种活动。

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