首页> 外文期刊>risk analysis >The Risks of “Putting the Numbers in Context”: A Cautionary Tale
【24h】

The Risks of “Putting the Numbers in Context”: A Cautionary Tale

机译:“将数字置于上下文中”的风险:一个警示故事

获取原文
获取外文期刊封面目录资料

摘要

Despite the warnings of risk communication specialists, members of the technical community often urge that technological risks should be “put in context” by comparisons against risks that are more familiar. Little quantitative evidence is available on the actual behavioral consequences of such risk comparison efforts. In the present study, subjects were presented with two types of information about a hazardous waste incinerator–a simplified statistical summary and a comparison of incinerator risks against the risks of smoking. Statistical information led to a modest increase in the reported willingness to vote in favor of the incinerator in a community referendum, but the comparison against cigarettes led to a slightdecreasein support; the difference between the two messages is statistically significant (p<.001). In combination with other results, this study's findings suggest that an implicit assumption of risk comparisons is in error: Opposition to controversial technologies may have little to do with citizens’ levels of information about technology, having more to do with citizens’ levels of trust in governmental and industri
机译:尽管风险沟通专家发出了警告,但技术界的成员经常敦促,应该通过与更熟悉的风险进行比较来“将技术风险置于上下文中”。关于这种风险比较工作的实际行为后果的定量证据很少。在本研究中,受试者获得了两种关于危险废物焚烧炉的信息——简化的统计摘要和焚烧炉风险与吸烟风险的比较。统计信息导致报告的在社区公投中投票支持焚化炉的意愿略有增加,但与香烟的比较导致支持率略有下降;两条消息之间的差异具有统计学意义 (P<.001)。结合其他结果,本研究的结果表明,风险比较的隐含假设是错误的:反对有争议的技术可能与公民对技术的信息水平关系不大,而更多地与公民对政府和行业的信任程度有关。

著录项

获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号