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How to Get Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Right? The Case of Vaccine Economics in Latin America

机译:如何正确进行成本效益分析?拉丁美洲的疫苗经济学案例

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Background: In middle-income countries, vaccines against pneumococcal disease, rotavirus, and human papilloma virus are in general more costly, not necessarily cost saving, and less consistently costeffective than earlier generation vaccines against measles, diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis. Budget impact is also substantial; public spending on vaccines in countries adopting new vaccines is, on average, double the amount of countries that have not adopted. Policymakers must weigh the costs and benefits of the adoption decision carefully, given the low coverage of other kinds of costeffective health and nonhealth interventions in these same settings and relatively flat overall public spending on health as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) over time. Objective: This paper considers lessons learned from recent vaccine cost-effectiveness analyses and subsequent adoption decisions in Latin America a, largely under the auspices of the Pro Vac Initiative. Results: The paper illustrates how small methodological choices and seemingly minor technical limitations of cost-effectiveness models can have major implications for the studies' conclusions, potentially influencing countries' subsequent vaccine adoption decisions. Methods: We evaluate the ProVac models and technical outputs against the standards and framework set out by the International Decision Support Initiative Reference Case for economic evaluation and consider the practical effects of deviations from those standards. Conclusions: Lessons learned are discussed, including issues of appropriate comparators, GDP-based thresholds, and use of average versus incremental cost-effectiveness ratios as a convention are assessed. The article ends with recommendations for the future.
机译:背景:在中等收入国家,与麻疹、白喉、破伤风和百日咳疫苗相比,肺炎球菌病、轮状病毒和人瘤病毒疫苗通常成本更高,不一定能节省成本,而且成本效益也较低。预算影响也很大;平均而言,采用新疫苗的国家在疫苗方面的公共支出是未采用新疫苗的国家的两倍。政策制定者必须仔细权衡采用决定的成本和收益,因为在这些相同环境中,其他类型的具有成本效益的卫生和非卫生干预措施的覆盖率较低,而且随着时间的推移,卫生方面的总体公共支出占国内生产总值(GDP)的比例相对平稳。目的:本文考虑了从拉丁美洲最近的疫苗成本效益分析和随后的采用决定中吸取的经验教训,主要是在Pro Vac倡议的主持下。结果:本文说明了成本效益模型的微小方法选择和看似微小的技术局限性如何对研究结论产生重大影响,从而可能影响各国随后的疫苗采用决策。方法:我们根据国际决策支持倡议参考案例制定的标准和框架评估 ProVac 模型和技术产出进行经济评估,并考虑偏离这些标准的实际影响。结论:讨论了所吸取的经验教训,包括适当的比较器、基于GDP的阈值以及使用平均与增量成本效益比作为惯例的问题。本文最后提出了对未来的建议。

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