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Developing versus Nondeveloping Disturbances for Tropical Cyclone Formation. Part II: Western North Pacific

机译:Developing versus Nondeveloping Disturbances for Tropical Cyclone Formation. Part II: Western North Pacific

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摘要

Global daily reanalysis fields fromtheNavyOperationalGlobal Atmospheric Prediction System(NOGAPS)are used to analyze Northern Hemisphere summertime (June–September) developing and nondevelopingdisturbances for tropical cyclone (TC) formation from 2003 to 2008. This is Part II of the study focusing on thewesternNorth Pacific(WNP), following Part I for the NorthAtlantic (NATL) basin. Tropical cyclone genesis in the WNP shows different characteristics from that in the NATL in both large-scale environmental conditions and prestorm disturbances.A box difference index (BDI) is used to identify parameters in differentiating between the developing and nondeveloping disturbances. In order of importance, they are 1) 800-hPa maximum relative vorticity, 2) rain rate, 3) vertically averaged horizontal shear, 4) vertically averaged divergence, 5) 925–400-hPa water vaporcontent, 6) SST, and 7) translational speed. The study indicates that dynamic variables are more important in TC genesis in the WNP, while in Part I of the study the thermodynamic variables are identified as moreimportant in the NATL. The characteristic differences between the WNP and the NATL are compared.

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