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Just How Predictable Are the Oscars?

机译:Just How Predictable Are the Oscars?

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摘要

Each year, hundreds of millions of people worldwide watch the television broadcast of the Academy Awards ceremony, at which the Academy ol Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) honors film-making trom the previous year. Almost 6,000 members of AMPAS vote for the nominees and final winners of Academy Awards, more commonly known as Oscars, in a range of categories for directing, acting, writing, editing, etc. Oscars have been presented for outstanding achievement in film every year since 1928, and are generally recognized to be the premier award of their kind as AMPAS voting members are themselves the foremost workers in the motion picture industry. In a comparison with other movie awards and movie guide ratings, psychology professor D. K. Simonton finds substantial validity for the Oscars, and notes that 'Those who take an Oscar home can have a strong likelihood of having exhibited superlative cinematic creativity or achievement."

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