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Modeling considerations in wood-related research

机译:木材相关研究中的建模注意事项

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摘要

It has been the author's experience that researchers will routinely use linear models to describe the relationships between correlated variables when that approach to modeling may not be the most rational. This article illustrates some of thecircumstances when linear modeling is and is not the most viable alternative in characterizing the relationship between correlated variables.In this study, several data sets are examined to illustrate how amenable they are to linear modeling. One data set selected shows a nearly ideal example of when linear least-squares regression is a realistic descriptor of the relationship betweencorrelated variables. A second data set shows how material idiosyncrasies, such as species, size, or grade effects, can result in misleading models for parameter prediction. A third data set illustrates a more subtle inhomogeneity that is frequently found in experimental data involving tests of clear wood. When the relationship between correlated variables changes due to a shifting failure mechanism, a presumed linear relationship may misrepresent the relationship between variables in a large portion ofthe domain. It is the intent of this paper to remind or make researchers aware of the subtle characteristics of data sets that can influence modeling results.One possible mechanism for modeling nonlinearly related variables (the univariate S{sub}B and the bivariate S{sub}(BB) distribution) is offered for consideration. This model has the unique feature of quantifying, in an analytic, closed-form fashion, theprobability of a predicted variable for any value of the domain. In addition, when certain input values used to calculate S{sub}(BB) bivariate distribution parameters are defined correctly, convergence to the clear wood strength of a material or productis achieved.
机译:根据作者的经验,研究人员通常会使用线性模型来描述相关变量之间的关系,而这种建模方法可能不是最合理的。本文说明了线性建模在表征相关变量之间关系时是最可行的替代方法,也不是最可行的替代方法。在这项研究中,研究了几个数据集,以说明它们对线性建模的适应程度。选择的一个数据集显示了一个近乎理想的示例,说明线性最小二乘回归何时是相关变量之间关系的真实描述符。第二个数据集显示了材料特性(如物种、尺寸或等级效应)如何导致参数预测的误导性模型。第三组数据说明了一种更微妙的不均匀性,这种不均匀性经常出现在涉及透明木材测试的实验数据中。当相关变量之间的关系由于失效机制的转移而发生变化时,假定的线性关系可能会错误地表示域中大部分变量之间的关系。本文的目的是提醒或让研究人员意识到数据集的微妙特征,这些特征可能会影响建模结果。提出了一种对非线性相关变量(单变量 S{sub}B 和双变量 S{sub}(BB) 分布)进行建模的可能机制以供考虑。该模型具有独特的功能,即以分析的封闭形式方式量化域中任何值的预测变量的概率。此外,当正确定义用于计算 S{sub}(BB) 二元分布参数的某些输入值时,可以收敛到材料或产品的透明木材强度。

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