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首页> 外文期刊>risk analysis >Should Persons with Diabetes Be Licensed to Drive Trucks?—Risk Management
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Should Persons with Diabetes Be Licensed to Drive Trucks?—Risk Management

机译:糖尿病患者是否应该获得驾驶卡车的执照?——风险管理

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How should a regulatory agency interpret a risk analysis that concludes there is a small increase in risk? The agency must decide on behalf of society whether the increased risk is large enough to justify banning the risky activity or taking some other step to lessen the risks. In a companion paper (Songeret al.), we conclude that licensing insulin using persons to drive commercial motor vehicles in interstate commerce would result in 42 additional crashes each year. Here we address risk management issues by interpreting the number of additional crashes and the relative risks of the prospective handicapped drivers. Are the number of additional crashes (42) significant? Is the increase in the annual crash risk (from 0.00785 to 0.032 for non‐insulin dependent and 0.048 for insulin dependent persons) significant? Are the relative risks significant for all insulin using drivers (4.7)? For drivers with a history of severe hypoglycemic reactions (19.8)? How should society tradeoff risk increases for increases in opportunity for these handicapped persons? We review other social decisions concerning highway safety: Accepting the increasing risks of letting 16 year olds drive, allowing extremely light cars, allowing some unsafe highways, and allowing extremely unsafe driving conditions at some times of day. We conclude that the additional risks from insulin using persons are well within the current accepted range of risks. Currently, 70 of states permit insulin using persons to drive trucks within their state. Nonetheless, the social cost, due to fatalities, injuries, and property damage from allowing a person with a history of severe hypoglycemic reactions to drive is more than $19,700 per yea
机译:监管机构应该如何解释风险略有增加的风险分析?该机构必须代表社会决定增加的风险是否大到足以证明禁止风险活动或采取其他措施来降低风险是合理的。在一篇配套论文(Songeret al.)中,我们得出结论,在州际贸易中许可使用胰岛素的人驾驶商用机动车辆将导致每年增加 42 起车祸。在这里,我们通过解释额外碰撞的数量和潜在残疾司机的相对风险来解决风险管理问题。额外的崩溃次数(42)是否重要?每年的车祸风险增加(非胰岛素依赖者从0.00785增加到0.032,胰岛素依赖者从0.048增加到0.048)是否显着?所有使用胰岛素的驱动因素的相对风险是否显著 (4.7)?对于有严重低血糖反应史的司机(19.8)?社会应该如何权衡增加风险,增加这些残疾人的机会?我们回顾了有关高速公路安全的其他社会决策:接受让 16 岁的孩子开车、允许极轻的汽车、允许一些不安全的高速公路以及允许在一天中的某些时间极其不安全的驾驶条件等日益增加的风险。我们的结论是,使用胰岛素的人的额外风险完全在目前可接受的风险范围内。目前,70%的州允许使用胰岛素的人在其州内驾驶卡车。尽管如此,由于允许有严重低血糖反应史的人开车造成的死亡、伤害和财产损失,社会成本超过 19,700 美元

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