Know thy future self

摘要

When making a decision, it is crucial to consider what the likely outcomes will be of the given choices. It is also critical for the decision maker to assess the probability that they will make the correct decision. Miyamoto et al. investigate how the anterior lateral prefrontal cortex (alPFC) contributes to an individual's estimated likelihood of deciding correctly.Previous research has examined how the prefrontal cortex assesses the value of an outcome and incorporates 'external probability — the likelihood of a given choice yielding a reward — when making decisions. Less is known about how the brain tracks 'internal probability' — the likelihood that the individual will make the correct choice.