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An Air Quality Prediction Model Based on a Noise Reduction Self-Coding Deep Network

机译:基于降噪自编码深度网络的空气质量预测模型

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摘要

Aiming at remedying the problem of low prediction accuracy of existing air pollutant prediction models, a denoising autoencoder deep network (DAEDN) model that is based on long short-term memory (LSTM) networks was designed. This model created a noise reduction autoencoder with an LSTM network to extract the inherent air quality characteristics of original monitoring data and to implement noise reduction processing on monitoring data to improve the accuracy of air quality predictions. The LSTM network structure in the DAEDN model was designed as bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM) to solve the problem of a lag in the unidirectional LSTM prediction results and thereby to further improve the prediction accuracy of the prediction model. Using air pollutant time series data, the DAEDN model was trained using hourly PM2.5 concentration data collected in Beijing over 5 years. The experimental results show that the DAEDN model can extract more stable features from the noisy input after training was completed. The models were evaluated using RMSE and MAE, and the results show that the indexes are 15.504 and 6.789; compared with unidirectional LSTM, it is reduced by 7.33 and 5.87, respectively. In addition, the new prediction model essentially considered the time series properties of the prediction of the concentration of spatial pollutants and the fully integrated environmental big data, such as air quality monitoring, meteorological monitoring, and forecasting.
机译:针对现有大气污染物预测模型预测精度低的问题,设计了一种基于长短期记忆(LSTM)网络的去噪自编码器深度网络(DAEDN)模型。该模型创建了一个带有LSTM网络的降噪自编码器,用于提取原始监测数据的固有空气质量特征,并对监测数据进行降噪处理,以提高空气质量预测的准确性。将DAEDN模型中的LSTM网络结构设计为双向LSTM(Bi-LSTM),以解决单向LSTM预测结果滞后的问题,从而进一步提高预测模型的预测精度。利用空气污染物时间序列数据,利用北京5年内收集的每小时PM2.5浓度数据对DAEDN模型进行训练。实验结果表明,DAEDN模型在训练完成后能够从噪声输入中提取出更稳定的特征。采用RMSE和MAE对模型进行评价,结果显示,各项指标分别为15.504和6.789;与单向LSTM相比,分别降低了7.33%和5.87%。此外,新的预测模型主要考虑了空间污染物浓度预测的时间序列特性和空气质量监测、气象监测和预报等环境大数据的充分集成。

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