The scene for U.S. shale in 2023 is setting up as a more dramatic iteration of the second half of 2022: more consolidation, higher inflation and more aggressive capital return programs. Top analysts and market watchers anticipated growth in 2022 on the order of 1 MMbbl/d of oil. It didn't happen in 2022, and it's even less likely to occur in the year ahead. Most forecasts put growth around 500,000 bbl/d for both years.
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