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Assessment and validation of wind power potential at convection- permitting resolution for the Caribbean region of Colombia

机译:哥伦比亚加勒比地区在对流允许分辨率下对风发电潜力的评估和验证

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摘要

High-resolution wind power assessments, validated with ground data, are key for wind energy projects in regions of promising potential such as the Colombian Caribbean. This study assesses the annual wind power for this region at convection-permitting resolution, using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with two nested domains (9 km and 3 km) and 50 vertical levels with 15 min outputs for the northern coast of South America. WRF simulations with three planetary boundary layer schemes (YSU, MYJ and QNSE) perform considerably better than ERA5 reanalysis at representing ground observations of near surface winds in the months with the strongest and weakest winds. WRF accurately simulates phase and amplitude of observed wind diurnal cycles, extreme values, and hodographs in terms of correlations, standard deviations, bias and Weibull distributions. The QNSE scheme served to validate the Wind Power Density (WPD) observed at ground stations, using variations of air density to improve the calculations. The assessment shows areas within the domain with WPD at 100 m up to 1200 Wm-2 onshore and 2000 Wm-2 offshore, with annual values above 400 Wm-2. In this regard, WRF provides a more detailed framework of the atmospheric dynamics for this part of the Caribbean region.(c) 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:高分辨率风电评估,经地面数据验证,是哥伦比亚加勒比海等具有潜力地区的风能项目的关键。本研究使用天气研究和预报 (WRF) 模型评估了该地区在对流允许分辨率下的年风力功率,该模型具有两个嵌套域(9 公里和 3 公里)和 50 个垂直水平,南美洲北部海岸的输出时间为 15 分钟。使用三种行星边界层方案(YSU、MYJ和QNSE)的WRF模拟在表示风力最强和最弱月份的近地表风的地面观测方面比ERA5再分析要好得多。WRF根据相关性、标准差、偏差和威布尔分布,精确模拟观测到的风昼周期、极值和全息图的相位和振幅。QNSE方案用于验证在地面站观测到的风功率密度(WPD),使用空气密度的变化来改进计算。评估显示,该领域内WPD为100米至1200 Wm-2的陆上区域和2000 Wm-2的海上区域,年值高于400 Wm-2。在这方面,WRF为加勒比地区的这一部分提供了更详细的大气动力学框架。(c) 2022 爱思唯尔有限公司保留所有权利。

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